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Most punters like to wager on top flight football especially the English Premier League (EPL). Millions of dollars are wagered on every match.
Why is there the tendency to focus on elite football?
Since the punters believe they have better knowledge and thus greater confidence. They like the winning consistency of the big clubs. On the flip side, the odds for such consistent winners will often be low and without value.
It can pay dividends to focus on the bottom leagues. Let me share with you a fascinating incident. On 21st Feb. 2009, there was a match between English non-league side Weymouth and Rushden & Diamonds. Weymouth was trashed 9-0. But Weymouth fans laughed all the way to the bank. The bookmakers paid out more than one million English Pounds in one of the biggest betting coups in non-league history.
What went wrong for click the next webpage bookmakers?
In the lower leagues, the punters have an edge whenever they are able to obtain the-latest team news faster than the bookmakers. In this incident, Weymouth fans found out «before the bookmakers» that Weymouth’s first team, which had not been paid at all this year due to the club’s debts, went on strike after discovering that there was no medical insurance coverage for the game. The club had no choice but to field its inexperienced youth team. Within this match, the bookmakers were caught with their pants down.
Those punters who are prepared to spend the same amount of time applying the same research criteria in the lower divisions can profit immensely. The next four reasons will convince you :
Smaller Squad — Most lower division teams don’t have huge squads and can’t replace their star players quickly with players of the exact same quality. Injury or suspension of certain key players can upset the performance of the entire team.
No Powerhouses — Unlike the elite league like EPL, for the bottom divisions, there are no powerhouses who dominate the league for multiple seasons. You will discover no so-called Big Four. This gives the lower leagues a more level playing field and creates more opportunities for value betting.
Better Odds — Manchester United will be the reigning EPL champion as well as the odds for virtually every of its Home games are hardly worth making a bet. However, the equivalent leading league favourite in a lower division could get around 3 times the odds with the almost equal probability chance of winning. During the season, plenty of such instances will crop up which the punters can capitalise on.
Same Punting Options — With the growth of online betting, lower division football now has the same type of markets and punting options as the very best tier football. Conversely, the bookmakers tend to dedicate most of their time on the very best flight leagues. For the bottom divisions, there is a tendency for them to make more mistakes when setting the costs. There is value to be spotted.